Saturday, 6 April 2013

mathematics - Multiple Choice Puzzle


What are the chances of getting this correct if you pick at random?




  1. 1/4

  2. 1/2

  3. 1/3

  4. 1/4


You are not allowed to add more answers to this list


Note; This DOES have a correct, demonstrable answer!



Answer



Probability of



picking `1/4` = `1/2`
picking `1/2` = `1/4`
picking `1/3` = `1/4`

Probability of


correct answer `1/4` = `1/3`
correct answer `1/2` = `1/3`
correct answer `1/3` = `1/3`

So the probability of me picking correct Answer is



( 1/2 * 1/3 ) + ( 1/4 * 1/3 ) + ( 1/4 * 1/3 ) = 1/3

Probability of me picking correct Label remains 1/4


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